Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Jan 29
9:00 Nov CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) +4.7 4.9 5.0
9:00 Nov CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) -0.1 -0.1 0.0
9:00 Nov CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) +0.3 0.4 0.4
10:00 Jan Consumer confidence 120.2 124.7 128.1
Wednesday, Jan 30
8:15 Jan ADP National Employment (k) 213.0 178 271
10:00 Dec Pending Sales Index 99.0 101.2
10:00 Dec Pending Home Sales (%) -2.2 0.5 -0.9
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 2.250 - 2.500 2.375 2.375
Thursday, Jan 31
7:30 Jan Challenger layoffs (k) 52.988 43.884
8:30 Q4 Employment costs (%) +0.7 0.8 0.8
8:30 Q4 Employment Wages qq (%) +0.6 0.9
8:30 Q4 Employment Benefits qq (%) +0.7 0.4
9:45 Jan Chicago PMI 56.7 61.5 65.4
10:00 Nov New home sales chg mm (%) 16.9 2.9 -8.3
10:00 Nov New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.657 0.560 0.562
Friday, Feb 01
8:30 Jan Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.5 34.5 34.5
8:30 Jan Private Payrolls (k) +296 170 301
8:30 Jan Manufacturing payrolls (k) +13 17 32
8:30 Jan Non-farm payrolls (k) +304 165 312
8:30 Jan Unemployment rate mm (%) 4.0 3.9 3.9
8:30 Jan Average earnings mm (%) +0.1 0.3 0.4
8:30 Dec Retail Sales (%) 0.2 0.2
8:30 Dec Durable goods (%) 1.8 0.7
8:30 Dec Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.1 -0.6
8:30 Q4 GDP Advance (%) 2.6 3.4
8:30 Dec House starts mm: change (%) 3.2
8:30 Dec Build permits: change mm (%) 4.5
8:30 Dec Building permits: number (ml) 1.290 1.322
8:30 Dec Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.254 1.256
8:30 Dec PCE (y/y) (%) 1.8
8:30 Dec Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.2 0.1
8:30 Dec Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) 1.9 1.9
8:30 Dec Personal Income (%) 0.5 0.2
8:30 Dec Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 0.3 0.4
8:30 Q4 Labor Costs Preliminary (%) 1.7 0.9
8:30 Q4 Productivity Preliminary (%) 1.7 2.3
10:00 Jan ISM Manufacturing PMI 56.6 54.2 54.1
10:00 Jan ISM Mfg Prices Paid 49.6 54.5 54.9
10:00 Jan Consumer Sentiment (ip) 91.2 90.8 90.7
10:00 Jan Consumer Inflation Expectations (1yr) (%) 2.7 2.7
10:00 Jan Consumer Inflation Expectations (5yr) (%) 2.6 2.6
10:00 Dec Durables ex-def, R mm (%) -0.1
10:00 Dec Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) -0.3
10:00 Dec Durable goods, R mm (%) 0.8
10:00 Dec Factory orders mm (%) 0.2 -0.6
10:00 Dec Factory ex-transp mm (% ) -1.3
10:00 Dec Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) -0.6
10:00 Dec New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.570 0.657
10:00 Dec New home sales chg mm (%) 2.9 16.9
10:00 Nov Construction spending (%) 0.8 0.2 0.1
15:30 Jan Domestic car sales (ml) 4.01 4.00 3.99
15:30 Jan Total Vehicle Sales (ml) 16.70 17.20 17.55
Monday, Feb 04
9:45 Jan ISM-New York index 855.1 848.5
10:00 Jan Employment Trends 109.56 111.6
10:00 Nov Factory ex-transp mm (% ) -1.3 0.3
10:00 Nov Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) -0.4 -0.3
10:00 Nov Durable goods, R mm (%) 0.7 0.8
10:00 Nov Factory orders mm (%) -0.6 0.2 -2.1
10:00 Nov Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) -0.6 -0.6
10:00 Nov Durables ex-def, R mm (%) -0.1 -0.1
Tuesday, Feb 05
10:00 Jan ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 59.7 59.5 59.9
10:00 Jan ISM N-Mfg PMI 56.7 57.2 57.6
13:00 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 38
Wednesday, Feb 06
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 378.9 388.7
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 253.1 266.2
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.69 4.76
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1053.4 1049.9
8:30 Q4 Productivity Preliminary (%) 1.7 2.3
8:30 Q4 Labor Costs Preliminary (%) 1.7 0.9
8:30 Nov International trade mm $ (bl) -49.3 -54.0 -55.5
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 1.263 2.179 0.919
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 27
Thursday, Feb 07
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 234 228 253
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 19
15:00 Dec Consumer credit (bl) 16.55 17.00 22.15
Friday, Feb 08
10:00 Dec Wholesale sales mm (%) -0.1 -0.6
10:00 Dec Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.4
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Wednesday, Feb 13
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 364.8 378.9
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 237.7 253.1
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1052.4 1053.4
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.65 4.69
8:30 Jan Core CPI Year/Year (%) +2.2 2.1 2.2
8:30 Jan CPI mm, sa (%) 0.0 0.1 -0.1
8:30 Jan CPI yy, nsa (%) +1.6 1.5 1.9
8:30 Jan Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) +0.2 0.2 0.2
8:30 Jan Real weekly earnings mm (%) +0.1 0.3 0.7
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 3.633 2.668 1.263
14:00 Dec Federal budget, $ (bl) -14 -11.00 -205.00
Thursday, Feb 14
8:30 Jan Producer Prices (%) -0.1 0.1 -0.2
8:30 Jan Core Producer Prices YY (%) +2.6 2.5 2.7
8:30 Jan Core Producer Prices MM (%) +0.3 0.2 -0.1
8:30 Dec Retail Sales (%) -1.2 0.2 0.2
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 239 225 234
10:00 Nov Business Inventories (% ) -0.1 0.3 0.6
Friday, Feb 15
8:30 Jan Export prices mm (%) -0.6 -0.1 -0.6
8:30 Jan Import prices mm (%) -0.5 -0.1 -1.0
8:30 Feb NY Fed Manufacturing 8.8 7.00 3.90
8:30 Dec Retail Sales (%) 0.2 0.2
9:15 Jan Capacity Utilization (%) 78.2 78.7 78.7
9:15 Jan Industrial Production (%) -0.6 0.1 0.3
10:00 Feb 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.3 2.6
10:00 Feb Consumer Sentiment 95.5 93.0 91.2
10:00 Feb 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.5 2.7
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Feb 19
10:00 Feb NAHB housing market indx 59 58
Wednesday, Feb 20
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 364.8
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 237.7
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1052.4
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.65
11:30 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 18
Thursday, Feb 21
8:30 Feb Philly Fed Business Index 14.0 17.0
8:30 Dec Durable goods (%) 1.5 0.7
8:30 Dec Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.2 -0.6
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 228 239
10:00 Jan Exist. home sales % chg (%) 2.2 -6.4
10:00 Jan Leading index chg mm (%) 0.1 -0.1
10:00 Jan Existing home sales (ml) 5.00 4.99
11:00 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 2.668 3.633

Event Importance:
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