| Time |
Event |
Period |
Actual |
Forecast |
Prior |
| Monday, Jan 10 |
| 10:00 |
Nov Wholesale sales mm (%)
|
Nov |
1.3 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
| 10:00 |
Nov Wholesale inventories mm (%)
|
Nov |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
| Wednesday, Jan 12 |
| 8:30 |
Dec Core CPI (Annual) (%)
|
Dec |
5.5 |
5.4 |
4.9 |
| 8:30 |
Dec Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%)
|
Dec |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
| 8:30 |
Dec CPI (annual) (%)
|
Dec |
7.0 |
7.0 |
6.8 |
| 14:00 |
Dec Federal budget, $ (bl) |
Dec |
-21 |
-25.00 |
-191.00 |
| Thursday, Jan 13 |
| 8:30 |
Dec Core Producer Prices MM (%)
|
Dec |
+0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
| 8:30 |
Dec Producer Prices (%)
|
Dec |
+0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
| 8:30 |
Dec Core Producer Prices YY (%)
|
Dec |
+8.3 |
8.0 |
7.7 |
| Friday, Jan 14 |
| 8:30 |
Dec Export prices mm (%) |
Dec |
-1.8 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
| 8:30 |
Dec Retail Sales (%)
|
Dec |
-1.9 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
| 8:30 |
Dec Import prices mm (%) |
Dec |
-0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
| 9:15 |
Dec Industrial Production (%)
|
Dec |
-0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
| 10:00 |
Jan 1yr Inflation Outlook (%)
|
Jan |
4.9 |
|
4.8 |
| 10:00 |
Jan 5yr Inflation Outlook (%)
|
Jan |
3.1 |
|
2.9 |
| 10:00 |
Jan Consumer Sentiment
|
Jan |
68.8 |
70.0 |
70.6 |
| 10:00 |
Nov Business Inventories (% )
|
Nov |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
| Tuesday, Jan 18 |
| 8:30 |
Jan NY Fed Manufacturing
|
Jan |
-0.7 |
25.00 |
31.90 |
| 10:00 |
Jan NAHB housing market indx
|
Jan |
83 |
84 |
84 |
| Wednesday, Jan 19 |
| 7:00 |
w/e MBA Purchase Index |
w/e |
305.7 |
|
283.4 |
| 7:00 |
w/e MBA Refi Index |
w/e |
2276.3 |
|
2349.8 |
| 8:30 |
Dec House starts mm: change (%) |
Dec |
1.4 |
|
11.8 |
| 8:30 |
Dec Housing starts number mm (ml) |
Dec |
1.702 |
1.650 |
1.679 |
| 8:30 |
Dec Build permits: change mm (%) |
Dec |
9.1 |
|
3.9 |
| 8:30 |
Dec Building permits: number (ml) |
Dec |
1.873 |
1.701 |
1.717 |
| Thursday, Jan 20 |
| 8:30 |
Jan Philly Fed Business Index
|
Jan |
23.2 |
20.0 |
15.4 |
| 8:30 |
w/e Continued Claims (ml) |
w/e |
1.635 |
1.580 |
1.559 |
| 8:30 |
w/e Jobless Claims (k)
|
w/e |
286 |
220 |
230 |
| 10:00 |
Dec Existing home sales (ml)
|
Dec |
6.18 |
6.44 |
6.46 |
| 10:00 |
Dec Exist. home sales % chg (%)
|
Dec |
-4.6 |
|
1.9 |
| 11:00 |
w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) |
w/e |
0.515 |
-0.938 |
-4.553 |
| 13:00 |
10-yr TIPS Auction (bl) |
|
16 |
|
|
| Friday, Jan 21 |
| 10:00 |
Dec Leading index chg mm (%)
|
Dec |
+0.8 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
| Time |
Event |
Period |
Actual |
Forecast |
Prior |
| Monday, Jan 24 |
| 9:45 |
Jan Markit Manuf. PMI
|
Jan |
55.0 |
56.7 |
57.7 |
| 9:45 |
Jan Markit Services PMI
|
Jan |
50.9 |
55.0 |
57.6 |
| 9:45 |
Jan Markit Composite PMI
|
Jan |
50.8 |
|
57.0 |
| 13:00 |
2-Yr Note Auction (bl) |
|
54 |
|
|
| Tuesday, Jan 25 |
| 9:00 |
Nov Case Shiller Home Prices y/y (% )
|
Nov |
+18.3 |
18.0 |
18.4 |
| 9:00 |
Nov FHFA Home Prices y/y (%)
|
Nov |
17.5 |
|
17.4 |
| 9:00 |
Nov CaseShiller Home Prices m/m (%) |
Nov |
+1.2 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
| 9:00 |
Nov FHFA Home Price Index m/m (%) |
Nov |
1.1 |
|
1.1 |
| 10:00 |
Jan Consumer confidence
|
Jan |
113.8 |
111.8 |
115.8 |
| 13:00 |
7-Yr Note Auction (bl)
|
|
55 |
|
|
| Wednesday, Jan 26 |
| 7:00 |
w/e MBA Purchase Index |
w/e |
300.1 |
|
305.7 |
| 7:00 |
w/e MBA Refi Index |
w/e |
1989.4 |
|
2276.3 |
| 10:00 |
Dec New Home Sales (%) (%)
|
Dec |
11.9 |
|
12.4 |
| 10:00 |
Dec New Home Sales (ml)
|
Dec |
0.811 |
0.760 |
0.744 |
| 10:30 |
w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) |
w/e |
2.377 |
-0.728 |
0.515 |
| 11:30 |
2-Yr Note Auction (bl) |
|
26 |
|
|
| 14:00 |
N/A FOMC rate decision (%)
|
N/A |
0.125 |
0.125 |
0.125 |
| Thursday, Jan 27 |
| 8:30 |
Q4 GDP Advance (%)
|
Q4 |
6.9 |
5.5 |
2.3 |
| 8:30 |
Dec Core CapEx (%)
|
Dec |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
| 8:30 |
Dec Durable goods (%)
|
Dec |
-0.9 |
-0.5 |
2.6 |
| 8:30 |
w/e Jobless Claims (k)
|
w/e |
260 |
260 |
286 |
| 8:30 |
w/e Continued Claims (ml) |
w/e |
1.675 |
1.650 |
1.635 |
| 10:00 |
Dec Pending Home Sales (%)
|
Dec |
-3.8 |
-0.2 |
-2.2 |
| 10:00 |
Dec Pending Sales Index |
Dec |
117.7 |
|
122.4 |
| 13:00 |
7-Yr Note Auction (bl)
|
|
53 |
|
|
| Friday, Jan 28 |
| 8:30 |
Q4 Employment costs (%)
|
Q4 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
| 8:30 |
Dec Outlays (consumer spending) (%)
|
Dec |
-0.6 |
-0.6 |
0.6 |
| 8:30 |
Dec Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%)
|
Dec |
4.9 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
| 10:00 |
Jan Sentiment: 1y Inflation (%)
|
Jan |
4.9 |
|
4.9 |
| 10:00 |
Jan Sentiment: 5y Inflation (%)
|
Jan |
3.1 |
|
3.1 |
| 10:00 |
Jan Consumer Sentiment (ip)
|
Jan |
67.2 |
68.7 |
68.8 |
| Time |
Event |
Period |
Actual |
Forecast |
Prior |
| Monday, Jan 31 |
| 9:45 |
Jan Chicago PMI
|
Jan |
|
61.7 |
63.1 |
| Tuesday, Feb 01 |
| 10:00 |
Jan ISM Manufacturing PMI
|
Jan |
|
57.5 |
58.7 |
| 10:00 |
Jan ISM Mfg Prices Paid
|
Jan |
|
79.5 |
68.2 |
| 10:00 |
Dec Construction spending (%) |
Dec |
|
0.6 |
0.4 |
| Wednesday, Feb 02 |
| 7:00 |
w/e MBA Purchase Index |
w/e |
|
|
300.1 |
| 7:00 |
w/e MBA Refi Index |
w/e |
|
|
1989.4 |
| 8:15 |
Jan ADP National Employment (k)
|
Jan |
|
208 |
807 |
| 10:30 |
w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) |
w/e |
|
-0.728 |
2.377 |
| Thursday, Feb 03 |
| 7:30 |
Jan Challenger layoffs (k) |
Jan |
|
|
19.052 |
| 8:30 |
Q4 Labor Costs Preliminary (%) |
Q4 |
|
1.5 |
9.6 |
| 8:30 |
Q4 Productivity Preliminary (%) |
Q4 |
|
3.0 |
-5.2 |
| 10:00 |
Jan ISM N-Mfg Bus Act
|
Jan |
|
71.0 |
67.6 |
| 10:00 |
Jan ISM N-Mfg PMI
|
Jan |
|
59.3 |
62.0 |
| 10:00 |
Dec Factory orders mm (%) |
Dec |
|
-0.2 |
1.6 |
| Friday, Feb 04 |
| 8:30 |
Jan Average earnings mm (%)
|
Jan |
|
0.5 |
0.6 |
| 8:30 |
Jan Non-farm payrolls (k)
|
Jan |
|
155 |
199 |
| 8:30 |
Jan Average workweek hrs (hr)
|
Jan |
|
34.7 |
34.7 |
| 8:30 |
Jan Unemployment rate mm (%)
|
Jan |
|
3.9 |
3.9 |
Event Importance:
No Stars = Insignificant | Low | Moderate | Important | Very Important
