Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Jul 30
10:00 Jun Pending Sales Index 106.9 105.9
10:00 Jun Pending Home Sales (%) +0.9 0.0 -0.5
Tuesday, Jul 31
8:30 Q2 Employment costs (%) +0.6 0.7 0.8
8:30 Q2 Employment Wages qq (%) +0.5 0.9
8:30 Q2 Employment Benefits qq (%) +0.9 0.7
8:30 Jun Personal Income (%) +0.4 0.4 0.4
8:30 Jun PCE (y/y) (%) +2.2 2.3
8:30 Jun Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) +0.4 0.4 0.2
8:30 Jun Core PCE (m/m) (%) +0.1 0.1 0.2
8:30 Jun Core PCE (y/y) (%) +1.9 2.0 2.0
9:00 May CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 6.5 6.5 6.6
9:00 May CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 0.2 0.2 0.2
9:00 May CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) 0.7 0.8
9:45 Jul Chicago PMI 65.5 62.3 64.1
10:00 Jul Consumer confidence 127.4 126.0 126.4
Wednesday, Aug 01
8:15 Jul ADP National Employment (k) 219.0 185 177
10:00 Jul ISM Manufacturing PMI 58.1 59.5 60.2
10:00 Jul ISM Mfg Prices Paid 73.2 75.8 76.8
10:00 Jun Construction spending (%) -1.1 0.3 0.4
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 1.875 1.875 1.875
15:30 Jul All car sales (ml) 5.32 5.46
15:30 Jul All truck sales (ml) 11.45 12.01
15:30 Jul Total Vehicle Sales (ml) 16.77 17.10 17.47
15:30 Jul Domestic car sales (ml) 3.93 3.90 3.97
15:30 Jul Domestic truck sales (ml) 9.14 9.25 9.61
Thursday, Aug 02
7:30 Jul Challenger layoffs (k) 27.122 37.202
9:45 Jul ISM-New York index 797.5 785.0
10:00 Jun Durable goods, R mm (%) +0.8 1.0
10:00 Jun Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) +0.2 0.4
10:00 Jun Durables ex-def, R mm (%) +1.3 1.5
10:00 Jun Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) +0.2 0.6
10:00 Jun Factory ex-transp mm (% ) +0.4 0.7
10:00 Jun Factory orders mm (%) +0.7 0.7 0.4
Friday, Aug 03
8:30 Jul Private Payrolls (k) +170 189 202
8:30 Jul Manufacturing payrolls (k) +37 22 36
8:30 Jul Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.5 34.5 34.5
8:30 Jul Unemployment rate mm (%) 3.9 3.9 4.0
8:30 Jun International trade mm $ (bl) -46.3 -46.5 -43.1
8:30 Jul Non-farm payrolls (k) +157 190 213
8:30 Jul Average earnings mm (%) +0.3 0.3 0.2
10:00 Jul ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 56.5 63.2 63.9
10:00 Jul ISM N-Mfg PMI 55.7 58.6 59.1
Monday, Aug 06
10:00 Jul Employment Trends 109.89 108.9
Tuesday, Aug 07
13:00 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 34
15:00 Jun Consumer credit (bl) +10.21 15.25 24.56
Wednesday, Aug 08
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 233.1 237.9
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 927.6 971.3
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 342.5 353.1
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.84 4.84
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) 2.9 -1.700 -2.536
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) 1.23 0.220 2.983
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -1.351 -3.333 3.803
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 26
Thursday, Aug 09
8:30 Jul Core Producer Prices YY (%) +2.7 2.8 2.8
8:30 Jul Producer Prices (%) 0.0 0.2 0.3
8:30 Jul Core Producer Prices MM (%) +0.1 0.2 0.3
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 213 216 218
10:00 Jun Wholesale inventories mm (%) +0.1 0.0 0.0
10:00 Jun Wholesale sales mm (%) -0.1 0.5 2.5
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 18
Friday, Aug 10
8:30 Jul Real weekly earnings mm (%) -0.2 0.1 0.1
8:30 Jul Core CPI Year/Year (%) +2.4 2.3 2.3
8:30 Jul CPI mm, sa (%) +0.2 0.2 0.1
8:30 Jul Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) +0.2 0.2 0.2
8:30 Jul CPI yy, nsa (%) +2.9 3.0 2.9
14:00 Jul Federal budget, $ (bl) -77 -77.00 -75.00
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Aug 14
8:30 Jul Import prices mm (%) 0.0 0.1 -0.4
8:30 Jul Export prices mm (%) -0.5 0.2 0.3
Wednesday, Aug 15
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 225.5 233.1
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 927.5 927.6
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 335.8 342.5
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.81 4.84
8:30 Jul Retail Sales (%) +0.5 0.1 0.5
8:30 Aug NY Fed Manufacturing 25.6 20.00 22.60
8:30 Q2 Productivity Preliminary (%) +2.9 2.3 0.4
8:30 Q2 Labor Costs Preliminary (%) -0.9 0.3 2.9
9:15 Jul Capacity Utilization (%) 78.1 78.2 78.0
9:15 Jul Industrial Production (%) +0.1 0.3 0.6
10:00 Aug NAHB housing market indx 67 67 68
10:00 Jun Business Inventories (% ) +0.1 0.1 0.4
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) -0.740 -0.583 2.900
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) 3.566 0.964 1.230
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 6.805 -2.499 -1.351
Thursday, Aug 16
8:30 Jul House starts mm: change (%) -12.3
8:30 Jul Building permits: number (ml) 1.310 1.292
8:30 Jul Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.260 1.173
8:30 Aug Philly Fed Business Index 22.0 25.7
8:30 Jul Build permits: change mm (%) -0.7
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 215 213
Friday, Aug 17
10:00 Aug Consumer Sentiment 98.0 97.9
10:00 Aug 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.9
10:00 Aug 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.4
10:00 Jul Leading index chg mm (%) 0.4 0.5
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Wednesday, Aug 22
10:00 Jul Exist. home sales % chg (%) 0.5 -0.6
10:00 Jul Existing home sales (ml) 5.40 5.38
Thursday, Aug 23
9:00 Jun Monthly Home Price yy (%) 6.4
9:00 Jun Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.2
10:00 Jul New home sales chg mm (%) -2.8 -5.3
10:00 Jul New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.650 0.631
Friday, Aug 24
8:30 Jul Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.4 0.2
8:30 Jul Durable goods (%) 0.8 0.8

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