Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Feb 03
10:00 Jan ISM Manufacturing PMI 50.9 48.5 47.2
10:00 Jan ISM Mfg Prices Paid 53.3 50.8 51.7
10:00 Dec Construction spending (%) -0.2 0.5 0.6
Tuesday, Feb 04
9:45 Jan ISM-New York index 866.9 869.0
10:00 Dec Factory orders mm (%) 1.8 1.2 -0.7
Wednesday, Feb 05
8:15 Jan ADP National Employment (k) 291 156 202
8:30 Dec International trade mm $ (bl) -48.9 -48.2 -43.1
10:00 Jan ISM N-Mfg PMI 55.5 55.0 55.0
10:00 Jan ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 60.9 56.5 57.2
Thursday, Feb 06
7:30 Jan Challenger layoffs (k) 67.735 32.843
8:30 Q4 Labor Costs Preliminary (%) 1.4 1.4 2.5
8:30 Q4 Productivity Preliminary (%) 1.4 1.6 -0.2
Friday, Feb 07
8:30 Jan Average earnings mm (%) 0.2 0.3 0.1
8:30 Jan Private Payrolls (k) 206 150 139
8:30 Jan Non-farm payrolls (k) 225 160 145
8:30 Jan Manufacturing payrolls (k) -12 -5 -12
8:30 Jan Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.3 34.3 34.3
8:30 Jan Unemployment rate mm (%) 3.6 3.5 3.5
10:00 Dec Wholesale inventories mm (%) -0.2 -0.1 -0.1
10:00 Dec Wholesale sales mm (%) -0.7 0.4 1.5
15:00 Dec Consumer credit (bl) 22.06 15.00 12.51
Monday, Feb 10
10:00 Jan Employment Trends 110.24 109.7
Tuesday, Feb 11
13:00 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 38
Wednesday, Feb 12
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 689.5 682.0
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 267.4 283.8
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 3123.6 2975.7
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.72 3.71
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 7.459 2.987 3.355
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 27
14:00 Jan Federal budget, $ (bl) -33 -11.50 -13.30
Thursday, Feb 13
8:30 Jan Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) +0.1 0.2 0.2
8:30 Jan Core CPI (Annual) (%) +2.3 2.2 2.3
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.698 1.745 1.751
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 205 210 202
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 19
Friday, Feb 14
8:30 Jan Retail Sales (%) 0.3 0.3 0.3
8:30 Jan Export prices mm (%) 0.7 -0.1 -0.2
8:30 Jan Import prices mm (%) 0.0 -0.2 0.3
9:15 Jan Capacity Utilization (%) 76.8 76.8 77.0
9:15 Jan Industrial Production (%) -0.3 -0.2 -0.3
10:00 Feb 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.3 2.5
10:00 Feb Consumer Sentiment 100.9 99.5 99.8
10:00 Feb 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.5 2.5
10:00 Dec Business Inventories (% ) +0.1 0.1 -0.2
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Feb 18
8:30 Feb NY Fed Manufacturing 12.9 5.00 4.80
10:00 Feb NAHB housing market indx 74 75 75
Wednesday, Feb 19
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 645.5 689.5
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 258.4 267.4
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 2875.1 3123.6
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.77 3.72
8:30 Jan Producer Prices (%) +0.5 0.1 0.1
8:30 Jan House starts mm: change (%) -3.6 16.9
8:30 Jan Core Producer Prices YY (%) +1.7 1.3 1.1
8:30 Jan Core Producer Prices MM (%) +0.5 0.1 0.1
8:30 Jan Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.567 1.425 1.608
8:30 Jan Build permits: change mm (%) 9.2 -3.7
8:30 Jan Building permits: number (ml) 1.551 1.450 1.420
Thursday, Feb 20
8:30 Feb Philly Fed Business Index 36.7 12.0 17.0
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 210 212 205
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.726 1.720 1.698
10:00 Jan Leading index chg mm (%) +0.8 0.4 -0.3
11:00 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 0.414 2.494 7.459
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 8
Friday, Feb 21
9:45 Feb PMI-Manufacturing (Markit) 50.8 51.5 51.9
9:45 Feb PMI-Composite (source:Markit) 49.6 53.3
9:45 Feb PMI-Services (Markit) 49.4 53.0 53.4
10:00 Jan Existing home sales (ml) 5.46 5.43 5.54
10:00 Jan Exist. home sales % chg (%) -1.3 -1.8 3.6
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Feb 25
9:00 Dec CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 2.8 2.6
9:00 Dec CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 0.5 0.5
9:00 Dec Monthly Home Price yy (%) 4.9
9:00 Dec Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.2
10:00 Feb Consumer confidence 132.0 131.6
Wednesday, Feb 26
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 645.5
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 258.4
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 2875.1
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.77
10:00 Jan New home sales chg mm (%) 3.5 -0.4
10:00 Jan New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.715 0.694
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 2.494 0.414
11:30 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 18
Thursday, Feb 27
8:30 Q4 GDP Prelim (%) 2.1 2.1
8:30 Jan Durable goods (%) -1.5 2.4
8:30 Jan Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.1 -0.8
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.720 1.726
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 211 210
10:00 Jan Pending Sales Index 103.2
10:00 Jan Pending Home Sales (%) 2.9 -4.9
Friday, Feb 28
8:30 Jan Personal Income (%) 0.3 0.2
8:30 Jan Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 0.3 0.3
8:30 Jan PCE (y/y) (%) 1.6
8:30 Jan Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) 1.7 1.6
8:30 Jan Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.2 0.2
9:45 Feb Chicago PMI 45.8 42.9
10:00 Feb Consumer Sentiment (ip) 100.9 100.9
10:00 Feb Consumer Inflation Expectations (1yr) (%) 2.5
10:00 Feb Consumer Inflation Expectations (5yr) (%) 2.3

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