Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Wednesday, Sep 13
8:30 Aug Producer Prices (%) 0.2 0.3 -0.1
8:30 Aug Core Producer Prices YY (%) 2 2.1 1.8
8:30 Aug Core Producer Prices MM (%) 0.1 0.2 -0.1
14:00 Aug Federal budget, $ (bl) -108 -119.50 -43
Thursday, Sep 14
8:30 Aug Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) +0.2 0.2 0.1
8:30 Aug Core CPI Year/Year (%) +1.7 1.6 1.7
8:30 Aug CPI mm, sa (%) +0.4 0.3 0.1
8:30 Aug Real weekly earnings mm (%) -0.6 -0.2 0.2
8:30 Aug CPI yy, nsa (%) +1.9 1.8 1.7
Friday, Sep 15
8:30 Aug Retail Sales (%) -0.2 0.1 0.6
8:30 Sep NY Fed Manufacturing 24.4 19.00 25.2
9:15 Aug Industrial Production (%) -0.9 0.1 0.2
9:15 Aug Capacity Utilization (%) 76.1 76.8 76.7
10:00 Jul Business Inventories (% ) 0.2 0.2 0.5
10:00 Sep Consumer Sentiment 95.3 95.1 96.8
10:00 Sep 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.7 2.6
10:00 Sep 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.6 2.5
Monday, Sep 18
10:00 Sep NAHB housing market indx 64 67 68
Tuesday, Sep 19
8:30 Aug Build permits: change mm (%) 5.7 -3.5
8:30 Aug Building permits: number (ml) 1.3 1.220 1.23
8:30 Aug House starts mm: change (%) -0.8 -4.8
8:30 Aug Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.18 1.175 1.155
8:30 Q2 Current account (bl) -123.1 -115.1 -116.8
8:30 Aug Export prices mm (%) 0.6 0.2 0.4
8:30 Aug Import prices mm (%) 0.6 0.4 0.1
11:30 26-Week Bill Auction (bl) 35
Wednesday, Sep 20
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.04 4.03
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 417.5 462.1
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1497.8 1636.8
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 224.7 252.0
10:00 Aug Existing home sales (ml) 5.35 5.46 5.44
10:00 Aug Exist. home sales % chg (%) -1.7 0.3 -1.3
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) -2.125 -2.135 -8.428
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 4.591 3.493 5.888
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -5.693 -1.633 -3.215
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 1.00-1.25 1.125 1.125
Thursday, Sep 21
8:30 Sep Philly Fed Business Index 23.8 17.2 18.9
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 259 270 284
9:00 Jul Monthly Home Price yy (%) 6.3 6.5
9:00 Jul Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.2 0.1
10:00 Aug Leading index chg mm (%) 0.4 0.2 0.3
13:00 10-yr TIPS Auction (bl) 11
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Sep 25
11:30 52-Week Bill Auction (bl) 36
Tuesday, Sep 26
9:00 Jul CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 5.8 5.7
9:00 Jul CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) 0.7 0.7
9:00 Jul CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 0.2 0.1
10:00 Sep Consumer confidence 120.0 122.9
10:00 Aug New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.588 0.571
10:00 Aug New home sales chg mm (%) 3.3 -9.4
Wednesday, Sep 27
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 417.5
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1497.8
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 224.7
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.04
8:30 Aug Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.3 1
8:30 Aug Durable goods (%) 1.0 -6.8
10:00 Aug Pending Sales Index 109.1
10:00 Aug Pending Home Sales (%) -0.5 -0.8
10:30 w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) -2.125
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 4.591
10:30 w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) -5.693
11:30 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 13
Thursday, Sep 28
8:30 Q2 GDP Final (%) 3.0 3
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 270 259
Friday, Sep 29
8:30 Aug Personal Income (%) 0.2 0.4
8:30 Aug Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 0.1 0.3
8:30 Aug PCE (y/y) (%) 1.4
8:30 Aug Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.2 0.1
8:30 Aug Core PCE (y/y) (%) 1.4
9:45 Sep Chicago PMI 58.5 58.9
10:00 Sep U Mich Sentiment Final (ip) 95.3 95.3
10:00 Sep U Mich 5-Yr Inf Final (%) 2.6
10:00 Sep U Mich 1Yr Inf Final (%) 2.7
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Oct 02
10:00 Aug Construction spending (%) 0.2 -0.6
10:00 Sep ISM Manufacturing PMI 57.5 58.8
10:00 Sep ISM Mfg Prices Paid 63.3 62
Tuesday, Oct 03
9:45 Sep ISM-New York index 748.8
15:30 Sep Domestic truck sales (ml) 8.30 8.32
15:30 Sep Total Vehicle Sales (ml) 16.30 16.14
15:30 Sep All truck sales (ml) 10.11
15:30 Sep Domestic car sales (ml) 4.40 4.36
15:30 Sep All car sales (ml) 6.03
Wednesday, Oct 04
8:15 Sep ADP National Employment (k) 172 237
10:00 Sep ISM N-Mfg PMI 54.9 55.3
10:00 Sep ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 55.8 57.5
Thursday, Oct 05
7:30 Sep Challenger layoffs (k) 33.825
8:30 Aug International trade mm $ (bl) -44.0 -43.7
10:00 Aug Factory ex-transp mm (% ) 0.5
10:00 Aug Durables ex-transpt R mm (%)
10:00 Aug Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%)
10:00 Aug Durable goods, R mm (%)
10:00 Aug Durables ex-def, R mm (%)
10:00 Aug Factory orders mm (%) 0.5 -3.3
Friday, Oct 06
8:30 Sep Unemployment rate mm (%) 4.4 4.4
8:30 Sep Private Payrolls (k) 130 165
8:30 Sep Non-farm payrolls (k) 130 156
8:30 Sep Manufacturing payrolls (k) 16 36
8:30 Sep Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.4 34.4
8:30 Sep Average earnings mm (%) 0.2 0.1
10:00 Aug Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.3
10:00 Aug Wholesale sales mm (%) 0.2 -0.1
15:00 Aug Consumer credit (bl) 15.30 18.5

Event Importance:
No Stars = Insignificant   |   Low   |   Moderate   |   Important   |   Very Important