Economic Calendar
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, Mar 04 | |||||
| 9:45 | Feb ISM-New York index | Feb | 860.7 | 855.1 | |
| Tuesday, Mar 05 | |||||
| 10:00 | Feb ISM N-Mfg Bus Act | Feb | 64.7 | 59.9 | 59.7 |
| 10:00 | Feb ISM N-Mfg PMI | Feb | 59.7 | 57.3 | 56.7 |
| Wednesday, Mar 06 | |||||
| 8:15 | Feb ADP National Employment (k) | Feb | 183 | 189 | 213 |
| Thursday, Mar 07 | |||||
| 7:30 | Feb Challenger layoffs (k) | Feb | 76.835 | 52.988 | |
| 8:30 | Q4 Productivity Revised (%) | Q4 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 8:30 | Q4 Labor Costs Revised (%) | Q4 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 15:00 | Jan Consumer credit (bl) | Jan | 17.05 | 16.00 | 16.55 |
| Friday, Mar 08 | |||||
| 8:30 | Feb Average earnings mm (%) | Feb | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 8:30 | Feb Private Payrolls (k) | Feb | 25 | 170 | 296 |
| 8:30 | Feb Manufacturing payrolls (k) | Feb | 4 | 11 | 13 |
| 8:30 | Feb Non-farm payrolls (k) | Feb | 20 | 180 | 304 |
| 8:30 | Feb Average workweek hrs (hr) | Feb | 34.4 | 34.5 | 34.5 |
| 8:30 | Feb Unemployment rate mm (%) | Feb | 3.8 | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| Monday, Mar 11 | |||||
| 8:30 | Jan Retail Sales (%) | Jan | 0.2 | 0.0 | -1.2 |
| 10:00 | Feb Employment Trends | Feb | 111.15 | 109.6 | |
| 10:00 | Dec Business Inventories (% ) | Dec | +0.6 | 0.6 | -0.1 |
| 13:00 | 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 38 | |||
| Tuesday, Mar 12 | |||||
| 8:30 | Feb Core CPI (Annual) (%) | Feb | +2.1 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 8:30 | Feb Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) | Feb | +0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 8:30 | Feb CPI yy, nsa (%) | Feb | +1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 8:30 | Feb Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) | Feb | +0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 8:30 | Feb Real weekly earnings mm (%) | Feb | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| 13:00 | 10-yr Note Auction (bl) | 24 | |||
| Wednesday, Mar 13 | |||||
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Refinance Index | w/e | 1108.3 | 1110.9 | |
| 7:00 | w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) | w/e | 4.64 | 4.67 | |
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Market Index | w/e | 384.0 | 375.3 | |
| 7:00 | w/e MBA Purchase Index | w/e | 250.8 | 240.5 | |
| 8:30 | Feb Producer Prices (%) | Feb | +0.1 | 0.2 | -0.1 |
| 8:30 | Feb Core Producer Prices MM (%) | Feb | +0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| 8:30 | Feb Core Producer Prices YY (%) | Feb | +2.5 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| 8:30 | Jan Durable goods (%) | Jan | 0.4 | -0.5 | 1.2 |
| 8:30 | Jan Nondefense ex-air (%) | Jan | 0.8 | 0.1 | -1.0 |
| 10:00 | Jan Construction spending (%) | Jan | 1.3 | 0.4 | -0.6 |
| 10:30 | w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) | w/e | -3.862 | 2.655 | 7.069 |
| 13:00 | 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) | 16 | |||
| Thursday, Mar 14 | |||||
| 8:30 | Feb Export prices mm (%) | Feb | 0.6 | 0.1 | -0.6 |
| 8:30 | Feb Import prices mm (%) | Feb | 0.6 | 0.3 | -0.5 |
| 8:30 | w/e Jobless Claims (k) | w/e | 229 | 225 | 223 |
| 10:00 | Jan New home sales chg mm (%) | Jan | -6.9 | -0.6 | 3.7 |
| 10:00 | Jan New home sales-units mm (ml) | Jan | 0.607 | 0.620 | 0.621 |
| Friday, Mar 15 | |||||
| 8:30 | Mar NY Fed Manufacturing | Mar | 3.7 | 10.00 | 8.80 |
| 9:15 | Feb Capacity Utilization (%) | Feb | 78.2 | 78.4 | 78.2 |
| 9:15 | Feb Industrial Production (%) | Feb | +0.1 | 0.4 | -0.6 |
| 10:00 | Mar 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) | Mar | 2.4 | 2.6 | |
| 10:00 | Mar 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) | Mar | 2.5 | 2.3 | |
| 10:00 | Mar Consumer Sentiment | Mar | 97.8 | 95.3 | 93.8 |
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, Mar 18 | |||||
| 10:00 | Mar NAHB housing market indx | Mar | 62 | 63 | 62 |
| Tuesday, Mar 19 | |||||
| 10:00 | Jan Factory ex-transp mm (% ) | Jan | -0.2 | -0.6 | |
| 10:00 | Jan Durable goods, R mm (%) | Jan | 0.3 | 0.4 | |
| 10:00 | Jan Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) | Jan | 0.8 | 0.8 | |
| 10:00 | Jan Factory orders mm (%) | Jan | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 10:00 | Jan Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) | Jan | -0.2 | -0.1 | |
| 10:00 | Jan Durables ex-def, R mm (%) | Jan | 0.7 | 0.7 | |
| Wednesday, Mar 20 | |||||
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Refinance Index | w/e | 1146.8 | 1108.3 | |
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Market Index | w/e | 390.0 | 384.0 | |
| 7:00 | w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) | w/e | 4.55 | 4.64 | |
| 7:00 | w/e MBA Purchase Index | w/e | 251.5 | 250.8 | |
| 10:30 | w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) | w/e | -9.589 | 0.309 | -3.862 |
| 14:00 | N/A FOMC rate decision (%) | N/A | 2.25 - 2.50 | 2.375 | 2.375 |
| Thursday, Mar 21 | |||||
| 8:30 | Mar Philly Fed Business Index | Mar | 13.7 | 4.5 | -4.1 |
| 8:30 | w/e Jobless Claims (k) | w/e | 221 | 225 | 229 |
| 8:30 | w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) | w/e | 1.750 | 1.772 | 1.776 |
| 10:00 | Feb Leading index chg mm (%) | Feb | 0.2 | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| 13:00 | 10-yr TIPS Auction (bl) | 11 | |||
| Friday, Mar 22 | |||||
| 10:00 | Jan Wholesale sales mm (%) | Jan | +0.5 | -0.2 | -1.0 |
| 10:00 | Jan Wholesale inventories mm (%) | Jan | 1.2 | 0.2 | |
| 10:00 | Feb Existing home sales (ml) | Feb | 5.51 | 5.10 | 4.94 |
| 10:00 | Feb Exist. home sales % chg (%) | Feb | +11.8 | 2.2 | -1.2 |
| 10:00 | Feb Factory orders mm (%) | Feb | 14 | 0.1 | |
| 14:00 | Feb Federal budget, $ (bl) | Feb | -227.00 | 9.00 | |
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday, Mar 26 | |||||
| 8:30 | Feb Build permits: change mm (%) | Feb | -0.7 | ||
| 8:30 | Feb Housing starts number mm (ml) | Feb | 1.210 | 1.230 | |
| 8:30 | Feb House starts mm: change (%) | Feb | 18.6 | ||
| 8:30 | Feb Building permits: number (ml) | Feb | 1.308 | 1.317 | |
| 9:00 | Jan CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) | Jan | 4.5 | 4.2 | |
| 9:00 | Jan Monthly Home Price yy (%) | Jan | 5.6 | ||
| 9:00 | Jan CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) | Jan | 0.2 | ||
| 9:00 | Jan Monthly Home Price mm (%) | Jan | 0.3 | ||
| 10:00 | Mar Consumer confidence | Mar | 132.0 | 131.4 | |
| Wednesday, Mar 27 | |||||
| 7:00 | w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) | w/e | 4.55 | ||
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Market Index | w/e | 390.0 | ||
| 7:00 | w/e MBA Purchase Index | w/e | 251.5 | ||
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Refinance Index | w/e | 1146.8 | ||
| 8:30 | Jan International trade mm $ (bl) | Jan | -57.5 | -59.8 | |
| 10:30 | w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) | w/e | 0.309 | -9.589 | |
| 11:00 | Q4 Current account (bl) | Q4 | -124.8 | ||
| 11:30 | 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 18 | |||
| Thursday, Mar 28 | |||||
| 8:30 | Q4 GDP Final (%) | Q4 | 2.5 | 2.6 | |
| 8:30 | w/e Jobless Claims (k) | w/e | 225 | 221 | |
| 8:30 | w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) | w/e | 1.772 | 1.750 | |
| 10:00 | Feb Pending Home Sales (%) | Feb | 0.5 | 4.6 | |
| 10:00 | Feb Pending Sales Index | Feb | 103.2 | ||
| Friday, Mar 29 | |||||
| 8:30 | Feb Personal Income (%) | Feb | 0.3 | -0.1 | |
| 8:30 | Jan Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) | Jan | 0.3 | -0.5 | |
| 8:30 | Jan PCE (y/y) (%) | Jan | 1.7 | ||
| 8:30 | Jan Core PCE (m/m) (%) | Jan | 0.2 | 0.2 | |
| 8:30 | Jan Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) | Jan | 1.8 | 1.9 | |
| 9:45 | Mar Chicago PMI | Mar | 64.7 | 61.4 | 64.7 |
| 10:00 | Mar Consumer Sentiment (ip) | Mar | 97.8 | 97.8 | 97.8 |
| 10:00 | Mar Consumer Inflation Expectations (1yr) (%) | Mar | 2.4 | 2.4 | |
| 10:00 | Mar Consumer Inflation Expectations (5yr) (%) | Mar | 2.5 | 2.5 | |
| 10:00 | Feb New home sales chg mm (%) | Feb | 1.6 | -6.9 | |
| 10:00 | Feb New home sales-units mm (ml) | Feb | 0.618 | 0.607 | |
Event Importance:
No Stars = Insignificant | Low | Moderate | Important | Very Important
