Economic Calendar
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wednesday, Sep 13 | |||||
| 8:30 | Aug Producer Prices (%) | Aug | 0.2 | 0.3 | -0.1 |
| 8:30 | Aug Core Producer Prices YY (%) | Aug | 2 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| 8:30 | Aug Core Producer Prices MM (%) | Aug | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.1 |
| 14:00 | Aug Federal budget, $ (bl) | Aug | -108 | -119.50 | -43 |
| Thursday, Sep 14 | |||||
| 8:30 | Aug Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) | Aug | +0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 8:30 | Aug Core CPI Year/Year (%) | Aug | +1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| 8:30 | Aug CPI mm, sa (%) | Aug | +0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 8:30 | Aug Real weekly earnings mm (%) | Aug | -0.6 | -0.2 | 0.2 |
| 8:30 | Aug CPI yy, nsa (%) | Aug | +1.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Friday, Sep 15 | |||||
| 8:30 | Aug Retail Sales (%) | Aug | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| 8:30 | Sep NY Fed Manufacturing | Sep | 24.4 | 19.00 | 25.2 |
| 9:15 | Aug Industrial Production (%) | Aug | -0.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| 9:15 | Aug Capacity Utilization (%) | Aug | 76.1 | 76.8 | 76.7 |
| 10:00 | Jul Business Inventories (% ) | Jul | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| 10:00 | Sep Consumer Sentiment | Sep | 95.3 | 95.1 | 96.8 |
| 10:00 | Sep 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) | Sep | 2.7 | 2.6 | |
| 10:00 | Sep 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) | Sep | 2.6 | 2.5 | |
| Monday, Sep 18 | |||||
| 10:00 | Sep NAHB housing market indx | Sep | 64 | 67 | 68 |
| Tuesday, Sep 19 | |||||
| 8:30 | Aug Build permits: change mm (%) | Aug | 5.7 | -3.5 | |
| 8:30 | Aug Building permits: number (ml) | Aug | 1.3 | 1.220 | 1.23 |
| 8:30 | Aug House starts mm: change (%) | Aug | -0.8 | -4.8 | |
| 8:30 | Aug Housing starts number mm (ml) | Aug | 1.18 | 1.175 | 1.155 |
| 8:30 | Q2 Current account (bl) | Q2 | -123.1 | -115.1 | -116.8 |
| 8:30 | Aug Export prices mm (%) | Aug | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 8:30 | Aug Import prices mm (%) | Aug | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 11:30 | 26-Week Bill Auction (bl) | 35 | |||
| Wednesday, Sep 20 | |||||
| 7:00 | w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) | w/e | 4.04 | 4.03 | |
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Market Index | w/e | 417.5 | 462.1 | |
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Refinance Index | w/e | 1497.8 | 1636.8 | |
| 7:00 | w/e MBA Purchase Index | w/e | 224.7 | 252.0 | |
| 10:00 | Aug Existing home sales (ml) | Aug | 5.35 | 5.46 | 5.44 |
| 10:00 | Aug Exist. home sales % chg (%) | Aug | -1.7 | 0.3 | -1.3 |
| 10:30 | w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) | w/e | -2.125 | -2.135 | -8.428 |
| 10:30 | w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) | w/e | 4.591 | 3.493 | 5.888 |
| 10:30 | w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) | w/e | -5.693 | -1.633 | -3.215 |
| 14:00 | N/A FOMC rate decision (%) | N/A | 1.00-1.25 | 1.125 | 1.125 |
| Thursday, Sep 21 | |||||
| 8:30 | Sep Philly Fed Business Index | Sep | 23.8 | 17.2 | 18.9 |
| 8:30 | w/e Jobless Claims (k) | w/e | 259 | 270 | 284 |
| 9:00 | Jul Monthly Home Price yy (%) | Jul | 6.3 | 6.5 | |
| 9:00 | Jul Monthly Home Price mm (%) | Jul | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
| 10:00 | Aug Leading index chg mm (%) | Aug | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| 13:00 | 10-yr TIPS Auction (bl) | 11 | |||
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, Sep 25 | |||||
| 11:30 | 52-Week Bill Auction (bl) | 36 | |||
| Tuesday, Sep 26 | |||||
| 9:00 | Jul CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) | Jul | 5.8 | 5.7 | |
| 9:00 | Jul CaseShiller 20 mm nsa (%) | Jul | 0.7 | 0.7 | |
| 9:00 | Jul CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) | Jul | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
| 10:00 | Sep Consumer confidence | Sep | 120.0 | 122.9 | |
| 10:00 | Aug New home sales-units mm (ml) | Aug | 0.588 | 0.571 | |
| 10:00 | Aug New home sales chg mm (%) | Aug | 3.3 | -9.4 | |
| Wednesday, Sep 27 | |||||
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Market Index | w/e | 417.5 | ||
| 7:00 | w/e Mortgage Refinance Index | w/e | 1497.8 | ||
| 7:00 | w/e MBA Purchase Index | w/e | 224.7 | ||
| 7:00 | w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) | w/e | 4.04 | ||
| 8:30 | Aug Nondefense ex-air (%) | Aug | 0.3 | 1 | |
| 8:30 | Aug Durable goods (%) | Aug | 1.0 | -6.8 | |
| 10:00 | Aug Pending Sales Index | Aug | 109.1 | ||
| 10:00 | Aug Pending Home Sales (%) | Aug | -0.5 | -0.8 | |
| 10:30 | w/e Gasoline Inventory (ml) | w/e | -2.125 | ||
| 10:30 | w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) | w/e | 4.591 | ||
| 10:30 | w/e Petroleum Distillate Inventory (ml) | w/e | -5.693 | ||
| 11:30 | 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) | 13 | |||
| Thursday, Sep 28 | |||||
| 8:30 | Q2 GDP Final (%) | Q2 | 3.0 | 3 | |
| 8:30 | w/e Jobless Claims (k) | w/e | 270 | 259 | |
| Friday, Sep 29 | |||||
| 8:30 | Aug Personal Income (%) | Aug | 0.2 | 0.4 | |
| 8:30 | Aug Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) | Aug | 0.1 | 0.3 | |
| 8:30 | Aug PCE (y/y) (%) | Aug | 1.4 | ||
| 8:30 | Aug Core PCE (m/m) (%) | Aug | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
| 8:30 | Aug Core PCE (y/y) (%) | Aug | 1.4 | ||
| 9:45 | Sep Chicago PMI | Sep | 58.5 | 58.9 | |
| 10:00 | Sep U Mich Sentiment Final (ip) | Sep | 95.3 | 95.3 | |
| 10:00 | Sep U Mich 5-Yr Inf Final (%) | Sep | 2.6 | ||
| 10:00 | Sep U Mich 1Yr Inf Final (%) | Sep | 2.7 | ||
| Time | Event | Period | Actual | Forecast | Prior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, Oct 02 | |||||
| 10:00 | Aug Construction spending (%) | Aug | 0.2 | -0.6 | |
| 10:00 | Sep ISM Manufacturing PMI | Sep | 57.5 | 58.8 | |
| 10:00 | Sep ISM Mfg Prices Paid | Sep | 63.3 | 62 | |
| Tuesday, Oct 03 | |||||
| 9:45 | Sep ISM-New York index | Sep | 748.8 | ||
| 15:30 | Sep Domestic truck sales (ml) | Sep | 8.30 | 8.32 | |
| 15:30 | Sep Total Vehicle Sales (ml) | Sep | 16.30 | 16.14 | |
| 15:30 | Sep All truck sales (ml) | Sep | 10.11 | ||
| 15:30 | Sep Domestic car sales (ml) | Sep | 4.40 | 4.36 | |
| 15:30 | Sep All car sales (ml) | Sep | 6.03 | ||
| Wednesday, Oct 04 | |||||
| 8:15 | Sep ADP National Employment (k) | Sep | 172 | 237 | |
| 10:00 | Sep ISM N-Mfg PMI | Sep | 54.9 | 55.3 | |
| 10:00 | Sep ISM N-Mfg Bus Act | Sep | 55.8 | 57.5 | |
| Thursday, Oct 05 | |||||
| 7:30 | Sep Challenger layoffs (k) | Sep | 33.825 | ||
| 8:30 | Aug International trade mm $ (bl) | Aug | -44.0 | -43.7 | |
| 10:00 | Aug Factory ex-transp mm (% ) | Aug | 0.5 | ||
| 10:00 | Aug Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) | Aug | |||
| 10:00 | Aug Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) | Aug | |||
| 10:00 | Aug Durable goods, R mm (%) | Aug | |||
| 10:00 | Aug Durables ex-def, R mm (%) | Aug | |||
| 10:00 | Aug Factory orders mm (%) | Aug | 0.5 | -3.3 | |
| Friday, Oct 06 | |||||
| 8:30 | Sep Unemployment rate mm (%) | Sep | 4.4 | 4.4 | |
| 8:30 | Sep Private Payrolls (k) | Sep | 130 | 165 | |
| 8:30 | Sep Non-farm payrolls (k) | Sep | 130 | 156 | |
| 8:30 | Sep Manufacturing payrolls (k) | Sep | 16 | 36 | |
| 8:30 | Sep Average workweek hrs (hr) | Sep | 34.4 | 34.4 | |
| 8:30 | Sep Average earnings mm (%) | Sep | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
| 10:00 | Aug Wholesale inventories mm (%) | Aug | 0.3 | ||
| 10:00 | Aug Wholesale sales mm (%) | Aug | 0.2 | -0.1 | |
| 15:00 | Aug Consumer credit (bl) | Aug | 15.30 | 18.5 | |
Event Importance:
No Stars = Insignificant | Low | Moderate | Important | Very Important
