Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Mar 04
9:45 Feb ISM-New York index 860.7 855.1
Tuesday, Mar 05
10:00 Feb ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 64.7 59.9 59.7
10:00 Feb ISM N-Mfg PMI 59.7 57.3 56.7
Wednesday, Mar 06
8:15 Feb ADP National Employment (k) 183 189 213
Thursday, Mar 07
7:30 Feb Challenger layoffs (k) 76.835 52.988
8:30 Q4 Productivity Revised (%) 1.9 1.6 2.2
8:30 Q4 Labor Costs Revised (%) 2.0 1.6 1.2
15:00 Jan Consumer credit (bl) 17.05 16.00 16.55
Friday, Mar 08
8:30 Feb Average earnings mm (%) 0.4 0.3 0.1
8:30 Feb Private Payrolls (k) 25 170 296
8:30 Feb Manufacturing payrolls (k) 4 11 13
8:30 Feb Non-farm payrolls (k) 20 180 304
8:30 Feb Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.4 34.5 34.5
8:30 Feb Unemployment rate mm (%) 3.8 3.9 4.0
Monday, Mar 11
8:30 Jan Retail Sales (%) 0.2 0.0 -1.2
10:00 Feb Employment Trends 111.15 109.6
10:00 Dec Business Inventories (% ) +0.6 0.6 -0.1
13:00 3-Yr Note Auction (bl) 38
Tuesday, Mar 12
8:30 Feb Core CPI (Annual) (%) +2.1 2.2 2.2
8:30 Feb Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) +0.2 0.2 0.0
8:30 Feb CPI yy, nsa (%) +1.5 1.6 1.6
8:30 Feb Core CPI, Monthly (seasonally adjusted) (%) +0.1 0.2 0.2
8:30 Feb Real weekly earnings mm (%) -0.1 0.0 0.1
13:00 10-yr Note Auction (bl) 24
Wednesday, Mar 13
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1108.3 1110.9
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.64 4.67
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 384.0 375.3
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 250.8 240.5
8:30 Feb Producer Prices (%) +0.1 0.2 -0.1
8:30 Feb Core Producer Prices MM (%) +0.1 0.2 0.3
8:30 Feb Core Producer Prices YY (%) +2.5 2.6 2.6
8:30 Jan Durable goods (%) 0.4 -0.5 1.2
8:30 Jan Nondefense ex-air (%) 0.8 0.1 -1.0
10:00 Jan Construction spending (%) 1.3 0.4 -0.6
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -3.862 2.655 7.069
13:00 30-Yr Bond Auction (bl) 16
Thursday, Mar 14
8:30 Feb Export prices mm (%) 0.6 0.1 -0.6
8:30 Feb Import prices mm (%) 0.6 0.3 -0.5
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 229 225 223
10:00 Jan New home sales chg mm (%) -6.9 -0.6 3.7
10:00 Jan New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.607 0.620 0.621
Friday, Mar 15
8:30 Mar NY Fed Manufacturing 3.7 10.00 8.80
9:15 Feb Capacity Utilization (%) 78.2 78.4 78.2
9:15 Feb Industrial Production (%) +0.1 0.4 -0.6
10:00 Mar 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.4 2.6
10:00 Mar 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.5 2.3
10:00 Mar Consumer Sentiment 97.8 95.3 93.8
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Mar 18
10:00 Mar NAHB housing market indx 62 63 62
Tuesday, Mar 19
10:00 Jan Factory ex-transp mm (% ) -0.2 -0.6
10:00 Jan Durable goods, R mm (%) 0.3 0.4
10:00 Jan Nondef cap ex-air R mm (%) 0.8 0.8
10:00 Jan Factory orders mm (%) 0.1 0.3 0.1
10:00 Jan Durables ex-transpt R mm (%) -0.2 -0.1
10:00 Jan Durables ex-def, R mm (%) 0.7 0.7
Wednesday, Mar 20
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1146.8 1108.3
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 390.0 384.0
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.55 4.64
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 251.5 250.8
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -9.589 0.309 -3.862
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 2.25 - 2.50 2.375 2.375
Thursday, Mar 21
8:30 Mar Philly Fed Business Index 13.7 4.5 -4.1
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 221 225 229
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.750 1.772 1.776
10:00 Feb Leading index chg mm (%) 0.2 0.1 -0.1
13:00 10-yr TIPS Auction (bl) 11
Friday, Mar 22
10:00 Jan Wholesale sales mm (%) +0.5 -0.2 -1.0
10:00 Jan Wholesale inventories mm (%) 1.2 0.2
10:00 Feb Existing home sales (ml) 5.51 5.10 4.94
10:00 Feb Exist. home sales % chg (%) +11.8 2.2 -1.2
10:00 Feb Factory orders mm (%) 14 0.1
14:00 Feb Federal budget, $ (bl) -227.00 9.00
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Tuesday, Mar 26
8:30 Feb Build permits: change mm (%) -0.7
8:30 Feb Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.210 1.230
8:30 Feb House starts mm: change (%) 18.6
8:30 Feb Building permits: number (ml) 1.308 1.317
9:00 Jan CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 4.5 4.2
9:00 Jan Monthly Home Price yy (%) 5.6
9:00 Jan CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 0.2
9:00 Jan Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.3
10:00 Mar Consumer confidence 132.0 131.4
Wednesday, Mar 27
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 4.55
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 390.0
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 251.5
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1146.8
8:30 Jan International trade mm $ (bl) -57.5 -59.8
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 0.309 -9.589
11:00 Q4 Current account (bl) -124.8
11:30 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 18
Thursday, Mar 28
8:30 Q4 GDP Final (%) 2.5 2.6
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 225 221
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.772 1.750
10:00 Feb Pending Home Sales (%) 0.5 4.6
10:00 Feb Pending Sales Index 103.2
Friday, Mar 29
8:30 Feb Personal Income (%) 0.3 -0.1
8:30 Jan Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) 0.3 -0.5
8:30 Jan PCE (y/y) (%) 1.7
8:30 Jan Core PCE (m/m) (%) 0.2 0.2
8:30 Jan Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) 1.8 1.9
9:45 Mar Chicago PMI 64.7 61.4 64.7
10:00 Mar Consumer Sentiment (ip) 97.8 97.8 97.8
10:00 Mar Consumer Inflation Expectations (1yr) (%) 2.4 2.4
10:00 Mar Consumer Inflation Expectations (5yr) (%) 2.5 2.5
10:00 Feb New home sales chg mm (%) 1.6 -6.9
10:00 Feb New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.618 0.607

Event Importance:
No Stars = Insignificant   |   Low   |   Moderate   |   Important   |   Very Important